Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.320990 1.619862 2.003860 2.548185 3.326202 4.444090 6.269276
2025-02-16 0.895823 1.202799 1.656370 2.422193 3.798653 6.477119 13.277774
2025-02-23 0.715903 1.021845 1.520491 2.482710 4.585533 10.125141 35.152636
2025-03-02 0.614311 0.918869 1.455252 2.613733 5.650282 16.795936 144.269370
2025-03-09 0.531113 0.820794 1.360018 2.627769 6.485103 26.017644 1279.612723
2025-03-16 0.458699 0.724277 1.237291 2.516715 6.865916 35.981075 NaN
2025-03-23 0.421382 0.683231 1.213090 2.639805 8.298186 68.873265 NaN
2025-03-30 0.384190 0.635128 1.160731 2.662027 9.426765 128.377532 NaN
2025-04-06 0.347917 0.582830 1.086730 2.587549 10.030491 220.459698 NaN
2025-04-13 0.318794 0.540591 1.027002 2.534406 10.759383 441.540567 NaN
2025-04-20 0.307788 0.533548 1.049086 2.770876 14.175114 6655.179896 NaN
2025-04-27 0.293589 0.517592 1.045444 2.917791 17.637124 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.274027 0.488090 1.002368 2.897238 19.632976 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.253220 0.453647 0.940467 2.773850 20.145886 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.241305 0.437627 0.925740 2.853393 24.326826 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.232784 0.428188 0.927433 3.014587 31.793936 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.221250 0.410480 0.902087 3.032073 37.039486 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.207202 0.385563 0.851629 2.896539 37.368952 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.200987 0.378483 0.853277 3.046885 50.041031 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.192621 0.365418 0.834452 3.074092 59.911427 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.182671 0.347672 0.798454 2.982995 63.085407 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.174038 0.332475 0.768543 2.918127 68.105644 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.172198 0.333752 0.791500 3.207623 117.441487 NaN NaN